Saturday, December 7, 2013

Daily Market Trend Guide -- Wednesday, December 04, 2013

MARKET REPORT                                                                               December 04, 2013
The Markets consolidated yesterday on expected lines as it opened on a modestly negative note and spent the entire session in a narrow 25-odd points range and ended the day  with minor losses. The Markets traded in a narrow band after opening on a modestly negative note. In the morning trade, after trading briefly in the negative, the markets moved in the positive territory for a brief time as it gave its intraday high of 6225.40. This remained for a very brief while as the Markets again moved back in the negative and then remained negative for the rest of the session. The Markets went on to give the day’s low of 6191.40. However, it recovered from those levels as well and ended the day at 6201.85, posting a minor loss of 16 points or 0.26% while forming a similar top but higher bottom on the Daily High Low Charts.

MARKET TREND FOR TODAY

Today’s market analysis remains more or less on similar lines as that of yesterday. Today, with all lead indicators in place, we would again see the Markets opening on a modestly negative note and continuing with consolidation. However, it is likely to do so with a positive bias and we would see the Markets trading in a range once again.

Today, the levels of 6235 and 6250 would act as immediate resistance on the Daily Charts. The supports exist at 6175 and 6160 levels.

The lead indicators continue to remain firmly in place. The RSI—Relative Strength Index on the Daily Chart is 56.6240 and remains neutral as it shows no bullish or bearish divergence or any kind of failure swing. The Daily MACD continues to remain bullish as it trades above its signal line. 

On the derivative front, the NIFTY December futures have continued to add in net open interest signifying addition in long positions across stocks and indices.

Going by this, it is very clear that the Markets are undergoing some point of consolidation but this remains with a positive bias as all lead indicators, pattern on the Chart remain firmly in place. The F&O data too supports this. Under such circumstances it is very much likely that the Markets opens modestly negative but remains firmly in place and improves as we go ahead in the session.

All and all, such consolidation period is likely to keep the markets in a narrow range. The intraday trajectory would be crucial but consolidation is likely with a positive bias. It is advised to strictly refrain from creating shorts as there is no structural weakness on the Charts. Selective purchases can be made. Overall, continuation of positive outlook is advised for today.

Milan Vaishnav,
Consulting Technical Analyst,
+91-98250-16331


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