MARKET REPORT October
23, 2013
Markets had an absolutely directionless session yesterday as
it continued to consolidate with the levels of 6230-6250 zone continuing to act
as resistance. The Markets opened on a modestly negative note but soon crawled
back into the green and made the levels of 6220.10 as the day’s high. The
Markets thereafter traded in a capped range in the first half of the day. In
the afternoon trade, the Markets slipped into the red. It slipped further in
the late afternoon trade to give the day’s low of 6181.80. It saw no
directional consensus until the end of the session as it kept trading in a
extremely capped and narrow range. It finally ended the day at 6202.80, closing
absolutely flat with minor loss of 2.15 points or 0.03% while forming a similar
top and a higher bottom on the Daily High Low Charts.
MARKET TREND FOR TODAY
The analysis for today remains more or less on similar
lines. The levels of 6230 have continued to pose major resistance to the
Markets and today as well, it would continue to do so. Today, expect the
Markets to open on a flat to modestly positive note and look for directions. To
the most likelihood, the consolidation in the Markets would continue and profit
taking from higher levels cannot be ruled out.
For today, the levels of 6230 and 6250 would continue to act
as key resistance zone for the Markets. The supports come in much lower at 6155
and 6110 levels.
The RSI—Relative Strength Index on the Daily Chart is
67.6056 and it is neutral as it shows no bullish or bearish divergence or any
kind of failure swings. The Daily MACD continues to trade above its signal
line.
On the derivative front, the NIFTY October futures have
continued to shed another 2.17 lakh shares or 1.17% in open interest. This
suggests that amid the consolidation that we have been witnessing, there is
been minor offloading taking place as well.
Going by the pattern analysis, it is very clearly evident
from the Daily Charts that the Markets have continued to resist at the key
resistance zone of 6230 and 6250 and will have to move past this zone for a
further sustainable up move. In other words, no up move shall until occur until
these levels are breached on the upside. Until this happens, we would continue
to see consolidation and ranged trading sessions with a downward bias.
All and all, it is likely that the Markets continue to
remain in a consolidation state and might continue to see minor profit takings.
However, driven by results, some selective out performance might be seen in
certain sectors. Given this, shorts should be avoided and very moderate
purchases may be made with more concentration on protecting profits at higher
levels. Continuance of cautious outlook is advised for today.
Milan Vaishnav,
Consulting Technical Analyst,
+91-98250-16331
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