Tuesday, October 22, 2013

Daily Market Trend Guide -- Tuesday, October 22, 2013

MARKET REPORT                                                                                      October 22, 2013
Though the Markets ended the day with nominal gains, it had more of a corrective session yesterday as it moved in either direction and remained range bound through out the day. The Markets opened on a positive note and soon made its intraday high of 6218.95 in the early hour of the trade. Thereafter, the Markets gradually corrected as it pared its gains and dipped into the negative and dipped into the red. It made an feeble attempt to recover but went on to give the day’s low of 6163.30. However, the last hour of the trade saw some recovery coming in lower volumes as the Markets recovered its losses to trade back in the green. It finally ended the day at 6204.95, posting a net gain of 15.60 points or 0.25% while forming a higher top and higher bottom on the Daily High Low charts.


MARKET TREND FOR TODAY

The resistance zone of 6230-6250 have held out yesterday as the Markets have failed to move past these levels. Today as well, the Markets are likely to open on a modestly negative note and continue with its corrective / consolidation activity and the levels mentioned would continue to act as key resistance zone.

For today, the levels of 6230 and 6250 would act as key resistance levels. The supports come in lower at 6155 and 6110 levels.

The RSI—Relative Strength Index on the daily charts is 67.8025 and it has reached its highest value in last 14-days which is bullish. It does not show any bullish or bearish divergence. The Daily MACD continues to trade above its signal line.

On the derivative front, NIFTY October futures have shed a nominal 3.11 lakh shares or 1.65% in Open Interest. This show some minor shedding of long positions and some unwinding at higher levels as well.
Going by the pattern analysis, it is very clear, as evident from the charts that the Markets have resisted at their key resistance levels of 6230-6250 and until these levels are breached there would be no sustainable up move in the Markets. Also, until these levels are  breach, on the similar lines, they would  continue to act as key resistance zone for the Markets. 

All and all, it is very much likely that the Markets opens negative and continue with its corrective activities at least in the initial trade. Long positions should be taken very selective as selective sectoral out performance would be certainly seen. Aggressive positions and over exposure along with shorts should be avoided. While keeping an vigilant eye on profits at higher levels, cautiously positive approach is advised for today.

Milan Vaishnav,
Consulting Technical Analyst,
+91-98250-16331


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