MARKET OUTLOOK FOR WEDNESDAY,APR 18,
2018
NIFTY continued with its gaining streak and ended the ninth
consecutive session in green as it ended on Tuesday with net gains of 20.35
points or 0.19%. Though the session ended with just modest gains, it saw a
V-Shaped intraday recovery. What was seen on Tuesday was a classical consolidation
while the NIFTY still tested its important near term pattern resistance.
As we approach Wednesday, as mentioned in our previous note, the
zones of 10550-10575 will continue to pose immediate resistance to the Markets.
Though the underlying buoyancy remains very much visible, the Markets are also
set to continue to consolidate a bit more before a clear up move continues.
The levels of 10575 and 10610 will act as immediate resistance area
for the Markets while supports will come lower at 10510 and 10465 zones.
The Relative Strength Index – RSI on the Daily Chart stands at 62.6075.
While it remains bullish forming a fresh 14-period high it continues to remain
neutral showing no divergences against the price. The Daily MACD stays bullish
while trading above its signal line. A Hanging Man that emerged on Candles
shows likely creation of reversal top and can temporarily halt the up move.
Pattern analysis shows the NIFTY resisting to the 10550-10575 zones
which is the strong pattern resistance are for the Markets. It is the upper range
of the broad rectangle formation which was created since February. This range
was breached but during the pullback, the NIFTY managed to crawl back inside
it.
Overall, there are no doubts that the undercurrent remains
extremely bullish. The NIFTY is adding Open Interest with each up move this
shows buoyant intent of the Market participants. However, given the
overstretched nature of few oscillators and given the present structure of the
Charts, some consolidation in form of range bound movements with limited
downsides remains imminent. This will bring with itself fair amount of
volatility as well. We reiterate our advice of protecting profits at higher
levels while continuing to rotate stocks effectively while maintaining a
cautious view on the Markets.
STOCKS TO WATCH:
Long positions were seen being built in POWERGRID, SOUTH BANK,
ICICI BANK, BHARTI AIRTEL, NTPC, HINDALCO, L&TFH, TITAN, TATA GLOBAL, NCC,
NATIONAL ALUMINUM, ITC and FEDERAL BANK.
(Milan Vaishnav, CMT, MSTA is Consultant Technical Analyst at
Gemstone Equity Research & Advisory Services, Vadodara. He can be reached
at milan.vaishnav@equityresearch.asia)
Milan Vaishnav, CMT, MSTA
Technical Analyst
(Research Analyst, SEBI Reg. No. INH000003341)
Member:
CMT Association (Formerly known as Market Technicians Association, (MTA), USA
Canadian Society of Technical Analysts, (CSTA), CANADA
Society of Technical Analysts (STA), UK
www.EquityResearch.asia
http://milan-vaishnav.blogspot.com
+91- 70164-32277 / +91-98250-16331
milan.vaishnav@equityresearch.asia
milanvaishnav@yahoo.com
CMT Association (Formerly known as Market Technicians Association, (MTA), USA
Canadian Society of Technical Analysts, (CSTA), CANADA
Society of Technical Analysts (STA), UK
www.EquityResearch.asia
http://milan-vaishnav.blogspot.com
+91- 70164-32277 / +91-98250-16331
milan.vaishnav@equityresearch.asia
milanvaishnav@yahoo.com
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