MARKET OUTLOOK
FOR MONDAY, JAN 01, 2018
The last session of the Year 2017 ended on a buoyant note as
the benchmark Index NIFTY50 once again showed inclination to reattempt the
earlier failed breakout. The NIFTY ended with a gain of 52.80 points or 0.50%.
While we usher into the New Year on Monday, we see the Markets initiating
themselves on a modestly positive note. In all likelihood, the up move that was
witnessed on Friday will spill over into Monday’s session as well. We may see
Markets extending its gains at least in the initial trade. In any case, the
levels of 10490 will remain critically important levels to watch out for.
Monday will see 10550 and 10610 playing out as immediate
resistance levels for the Markets. Supports come in at 10490 and 10445 zones.
The Relative Strength Index – RSI on the Daily Chart is 66.8111
and though it does not show any failure swing, a Bearish Divergence is
observed. The NIFTY marked fresh 14-period high while the RSI did not. The
Daily MACD stays bullish while trading above its signal line. No significant
formations were observed on Candles.
The pattern analysis shows that the NIFTY attempted a breakout
earlier when it moved past the 10490 mark. However, it suffered a throwback and
gave up all of its gains from the breakout levels. However, it has attempted to
breakout again and a confirmation to this breakout is awaited again.
In any case, if the NIFTY manages to extend its gains and
continues with the up move that it witnessed on Friday, we can expect it to
test 10600-10630 levels in coming days. However, given the overall structure of
the lead indicators on Daily as well as Weekly Charts, we will still need to
protect profits very vigilantly at higher levels as sharp profit taking bouts
from higher levels cannot be ruled out. Highly stock specific approach with
cautious optimism is advised for the day.
Milan Vaishnav, CMT, MSTA
Technical Analyst
(Research Analyst, SEBI Reg. No. INH000003341)
Member:
CMT Association (Formerly known as Market
Technicians Association, (MTA), USA
Canadian Society of Technical Analysts, (CSTA),
CANADA
Society of Technical Analysts (STA),
UK
+91- 70164-32277 / +91-98250-16331
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