MARKET OUTLOOK
FOR WEDNESDAY, DEC 27, 2017
After staying flat and range bound for the entire session on
Tuesday, the Markets saw a sharp upsurge, more so in the final hour of the
trade and as a result, the benchmark NIFTY50 ended the day with a modest gain
of 38.50 points or 0.37%. The Markets have posted yet another lifetime closing
high and the liquidity has not yet stopped to chase the momentum. Going into
trade on Wednesday, we will see volatility creeping in as well. We enter the
penultimate day of the expiry of the current derivative series and we will see
activities remain heavily dominated with rollovers.
Wednesday will see Markets facing a tricky situation. A
breakout has been attempted from 10490 level but we still require confirmation.
NIFTY will face resistance at 10540 and 10585 levels.
The Relative Strength Index – RSI on the Daily Chart is 65.5629
and it continued to mark its 14-period high which is bullish. It does not show
any divergence against the price. The Daily MACD stays bullish while trading
above its signal line. A white body occurred on Candles but it shows no
significant formations with it.
Pattern analysis shows an attempt to break out above the
10490 by the Markets. However, a meaningful rally is yet to happen and the
Markets await confirmation for that. Daily Stochastic remains highly
overbought.
Overall, Markets are demonstrating buoyant intent and we are
likely to see this continuing tomorrow as well. However, with expiry
approaching, it is likely that volatility will also make its presence felt. For
the Markets to inch higher, it would be necessary for the Markets to trade
above 10490. Any dip below this will force the Markets into consolidation once
again. We recommend avoiding shorts completely. With the liquidity chasing the
Markets, up moves will remain prone to likely volatile profit taking bouts from
higher levels. Exposures should be continued to be kept modest and profits
should be heavily protected at higher levels.
Milan Vaishnav, CMT, MSTA
Technical Analyst
(Research Analyst, SEBI Reg. No. INH000003341)
Member:
CMT Association (Formerly known as Market
Technicians Association, (MTA), USA
Canadian Society of Technical Analysts, (CSTA),
CANADA
Society of Technical Analysts (STA),
UK
+91- 70164-32277
/ +91-98250-16331
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