Thursday, December 12, 2013

Daily Market Trend Guide -- Thursday, December 12, 2013

MARKET REPORT                                                                                                              December 12, 2013
The consolidation continued in the Markets yesterday as the Markets remained in negative territory in a capped range and saw a spurt in last thirty minutes of the trade to still end the day with modest losses. The  Markets opened on a negative note and traded in capped range making gradual lows. In the afternoon trade, the Markets  dipped to form day’s low of 6280.25. It continued to see a range bound trade until the last hour of the trade. In the last thirty minutes, the Markets attempted a sharp recovery as it saw a sharp spurt from the lows of the day. It recover most of its losses, but still ended the day post expiry at 6307.90, posting  a net loss of 24.95 points or 0.39% while continuing to form a lower top and lower bottom on the Daily High Low Charts.
MARKET TREND FOR TODAY
Today, expect the Markets to open again on a negative note and continue with its corrective activities, at least in the initial trade. The Markets have been witnessing a correction after euphoric reaction to the assembly election results on a lower volume. Today as well, it would see such activity but like yesterday, we can see improvements coming in as we go ahead in the session. Intraday trajectory would remain critical to decide the trend for today.
For today, the levels of 6345 and 6370 would act as resistance whereas immediate supports exist at 6280 and 6255 levels.
All lead indicators continue to remain in place. The RSI—Relative Strength Index on the Daily Chart is 60.14 and it is neutral as it shows no bullish or bearish divergences or any kind of failure swings. The Daily MACD too remains bullish as it continues to a trade above its signal line.
On the derivative front, NIFTY December futures have added a nominal 61700 shares or 0.21% in Open Interest. This continues to show that no major profit taking has been witnessed in the Markets.
Going by the pattern analysis, the Markets have been consolidating after a euphoric reaction to the assembly results, as mentioned earlier. The lead indicators and the F&O data clearly show that there is certainly no negative breach in the pattern and the undercurrent continues to remain buoyant.
All and all, the Markets may see modestly negative opening but the overall bias continues to remain positive. We may see improvement coming in at any moment as we go ahead in the session. It is strongly advised to avoid creating short positions. Selective purchases may be continued to be made. Overall, continuance of cautiously positive outlook is advised for today.
Milan Vaishnav,
Consulting Technical Analyst,
+91-98250-16331
 

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