MARKET REPORT December
23, 2013
The Markets staged a smart pullback, much on the lines as analysed
in our Friday’s edition of Daily Market Trend Guide as it opened positive,
surged during the session to end the day with decent gains. The Markets opened
positive on expected lines and remained range bound with capped gains in the
morning trade. However, in remaining session from afternoon until the end, it
gained some more strength and surged further. It kept making gradual intraday
highs as it went on to give the day’s high of 6284.50. It maintained those
levels and finally ended the day at 6274.85, posting a very decent gain of
107.60 points or 1.74% while forming a higher top and higher bottom on the
Daily High Low Charts.
MARKET TREND FOR TODAY
Today, expect the Markets to open on a modestly positive
note and continue with its up move, at least in the initial session. The
Markets are expected to open positive and it would be important for the Markets
to remain positive or else at least consolidate to capitalize on Friday’s
pullback. The intraday trajectory would remain critically important. The levels
of 50-DMA have so far successfully held out as support at Close levels.
For today, the levels of 6310 and 6345 would act as
immediate resistance on the Daily Charts. The supports would exist at 6250 and
6215 levels.
All lead indicators primarily remain in place. The RSI—Relative
Strength Index on the Daily Chart is 56.4518 and it is neutral as it shows no
bullish or bearish divergence or failure swings. The Daily MACD continues to
remain bearish as it still trades below its signal line. On the Weekly Charts, the RSI is neutral at
59.2557. The Weekly MACD is bullish as it continues to trade above its signal
line.
On the derivative front, NIFTY showed some rollover activity
as the December futures shed over 6 lakh shares or 3.16% in Open Interest while
the January futures added over 20.93 lakh shares or 35.50% in Open Interest.
Going by the pattern analysis of the Daily Charts, the NIFTY
remains very much in intact structure as it continues to trade above all of its
DMAs while the levels of 50-DMA has
successfully continued to act as support at Close levels. Given this, it should not be a surprise as
the Markets continues with its up move and even if it does not, it is likely
that it sees some amount of mere consolidation and no major profit taking.
All and all, the undercurrent continues to remain buoyant
and there is no likelihood of any major correction coming in. At the most we
can see some minor profit taking from higher levels or some amount of
consolidation. In the present case, it is strongly recommended that while
continuing to avoid shorts, profits in existing positions should be protected
vigilantly at higher levels. Overall, continuance of positive outlook is
advised for today.
Milan Vaishnav,
Consulting Technical Analyst,
+91-98250-16331
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