Thursday, August 9, 2012

Daily Market Trend Guide -- Thursday, August 09, 2012

MARKET TREND FOR TODAY                                                                    August 9, 2012
Yesterday, the Markets traded almost in line with what was analyzed in our yesterday’s edition of Daily Market Trend Guide. On expected lines, the Markets opened positive, though volatile but remained positive but also saw some bouts of profit taking towards the end to end the day closing absolutely flat paring all of its gains. The Markets during the day touched the intraday high of 5377.60. However, after volatile movement in the intraday 25-odd point range, the Markets gave off all of its gains towards the end of the day and Closed at 5338.00, posting a negligible gain of 1.30 points or 0.02%. The volumes too remained around average. The Markets have, however, formed a higher top and higher bottom on the Daily High Low Charts.

Today’s analysis remains more or less similar than that of yesterday. Today also, we expect a moderately positive opening in the Markets but, at the same time, also foresee some minor correction / consolidation setting in, whose basic signs have started appearing yesterday with fall in net open interest in stock futures.

For today, the levels of 5360 and 5385 are immediate resistance levels and the levels of 5290 and 5235 are immediate supports.

The RSI—Relative Strength Index on the Daily Chart is 63.4662 and it has reached its highest value in last 14-days which is bullish. It does not show any positive or negative divergence. The Daily MACD continues to trade above its signal line.

However, on the Candles, A Long Upper Shadow has occurred. This is a typically bearish signal, potentially, especially when it occurs after a rally or near the highs or near resistance levels. 

Further to this, though NIFTY futures have added in net open Interest, the Stock futures have shed 1.23 crore share in total open interest. This too shows a moderate sign of possible consolidation / minor correction.

Having said all this, we can expect a moderately positive start to the Markets but there are continuing chances that, like yesterday, we see some volatile movement and some intermittent bouts of profit taking.

All and all, it is advised to continue to refrain from taking aggressive positions on either side and keep protecting profits at higher levels on the long side. Further, while taking fresh positions on either side, ultra selective approach is advised. Cautious outlook is advised for today.

Milan Vaishnav,
Consulting Technical Analyst,
+91-98250-16331


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