MARKET TREND FOR TODAY
April 10, 2012
The Markets had an disappointing session
yesterday with it ended with losses after opening in the red and spending the
entire session in the falling trajectory. The Markets opened on a negative note
following global weakness and remained so in the downward falling trajectory
for the entire session. The Markets traded in a narrow band of 30-odd points
post negative opening. It slipped further into the red as it gave its intraday
low of 5228. It finally ended the day at 5234.40 posting a cut of 88.50 points
or 1.66%. In the process, it has formed a lower top and lower bottom on the
Daily High Low charts.
Today, we are likely to see a modestly
positive opening in the Markets and we might see some respite from the weakness
that we saw yesterday. The Markets are expected to open on a modestly positive
note and look for directions heavily depending upon the intraday trajectory it
forms and maintains.
For today, the levels of 5275 and 5325 are immediate resistance levels
and the levels of 5100 and 5165 are immediate supports on the Charts.
All lead indicators continue to remain in
place. The RSI—Relative Strength Index on the Daily Charts is 46.1787 and it is
neutral as it shows no negative divergence or failure swings. The Daily MACD
continues to remain bullish as it trades above its signal line.
Having said this, it is important to note
that NIFTY has shed Open Interest in sixth straight session of trading while Stock Futures continuing to add
Open Interest in similar fashion. Further important to note is the fact that
even with yesterday’s fall, there is no negative breach or breakdown on Charts
and the Markets continue to remain in a broad trading range with 200-DMA 5146
continuing to act as major support.
Markets will not see any significant up
move until it moves past 5350-5420 resistance zone, in the similar fashion, it
will not see any significant breakdown until it breaches its 200-DMA on the
downside. It is likely to remain in a broad trading range until it takes a
definite direction with bias on the upside. Until this time, it is likely to
trade in a range and also bit volatile.
All and all, with the Markets remaining in
a range, highly stock specific activities would be seen. Stock specific
purchases may be done with vigilant profit protection while avoiding aggressive
position on either side. Overall, cautious outlook is advised for today.
Milan Vaishnav,
Consulting Technical Analyst,
+91-98250-16331
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