MARKET TREND FOR TODAY January 23, 2012
The Markets continued with its up move in the half hour of the day it saw a very sharp pullback from its day’s low to end the day with gains. The Markets opened on a positive note, but as expected in our previous edition of Daily Market Trend Guide, it formed a falling trajectory after initially trading in a capped range. In the second half of the day, it slipped from its positive territory and went on to trade in the red. It also gave its intraday low of 5004.30. However, in the last half hour of the trade, it saw a very sharp pullback on short covering as it not only gave the day’s high of 5064.15, but ended the day at 5048.60, posting a gain of 30.20 points or 0.60%. The Markets went on to form a higher top and higher bottom on the Daily High Low Charts. With this, the Markets have ended the week with net gains of 182.60 points or 3.71%.
This week, we are likely to see Markets taking a breather from last two weeks of very nice performance.
For today, expect a sedate and quiet start to the Markets. Barring India and Japan, rest of the five Markets, i.e. Taiwan, Hong Kong, Singapore, Korea and China are shut due to lunar new year. To add to this, we have Thursday as a holiday due to Republic day and thus, all this is likely to keep the Markets sedate and quiet on low volumes. For today, the levels of 5075 and 5090 are likely to act as resistance and the levels of 5005 and 4960 are immediate support on the Charts. The RSI – Relative Strength Index on the Daily Chart is 68.2834 and it has reached its highest value in last 14-days which is bullish. It does not show any positive or negative divergence. The Daily MACD continues to remain bullish as it trades above its signal line.
On the Weekly Charts, the RSI is 50.6660 and is neutral as it shows no negative divergence or failure swings. The levels of 5100 continues to act as resistance on the Weekly Charts. The Weekly MACD has turned bullish as it has reported a positive crossover.
Given the above reading, it can be fairly concluded that the Markets may not see very sharp correction, but they are likely to see some consolidation or some profit taking in the immediate term, while keeping its overall trend intact. This is likely to keep this truncated week little low on volumes, range bound and also bit volatile. Also, this being rollover week, with one day less, (Thursday being a holiday), we may see the sessions dominated with rollover centric activities.
All and all, the trend remains intact, but consolidation and mild profit taking cannot be ruled out. Purchases may be made, but very selectively and it has become all the more important to protect long profits at higher levels. Overall, cautiously positive outlook is advised for today.
Milan Vaishnav,
Consulting Technical Analyst,
+91-98250-16331
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