Friday, August 18, 2017

MARKET OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY, AUG 18, 2017

MARKET OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY, AUG 18, 2017
The Markets headed nowhere on Thursday and oscillated in a capped range as the benchmark NIFTY50 ended the day with minor gain of 6.85 points or 0.07%. Very much on expected line, the NIFTY did test its short term 20-DMA and consolidated around those levels moving back and forth in a defined range. The Markets have shown a great underlying strength and on Friday, we expect the Markets to most probably resume its up move and attempt to move past the 20-DMA. If not, then we will see it consolidate with positive bias. Moving past 20-DMA will induce some more strength to the Markets.

The levels of 9960 and 9995 will act as resistance levels while supports to the Market will come in at 9865 and 9810 levels.

The Relative Strength Index – RSI on the Daily Chart is 51.4000 and it remains neutral showing no divergences against the price. The Daily MACD has flattened its trajectory and may move towards positive crossovers in coming days. No major formations were observed on Candles.

The pattern analysis depicts the Markets remaining comfortably within the upward rising channel. The pullback has halted near the short term 20-DMA and we will see the Markets attempting to move past it once again.

The NIFTY August futures have seen addition of over 13.99 lakh shares or 5.93% in Open Interest. There are large positive build up in the system and the previous couple sessions have traded with inherently buoyant bias. In even of any consolidation, we would recommend strictly avoiding any short positions. Any consolidation or any minor collective move should be utilized to make fresh purchases. While remaining heavily stock specific, cautious optimism is advised for the day.

Milan Vaishnav, CMT 
Technical Analyst 
(Research Analyst, SEBI Reg. No. INH000003341)

Member: 
Market Technicians Association, (MTA), USA
Canadian Society of Technical Analysts, (CSTA), CANADA



+91-98250-16331 

Thursday, August 17, 2017

MARKET OUTLOOK FOR THURSDAY, AUG 17, 2017

MARKET OUTLOOK FOR THURSDAY, AUG 17, 2017
As analyzed in our previous note, the Markets not only continued with their up move but also saw the shorts being covered up and being replaced with fresh longs. The benchmark NIFTY50 saw a decent rally on Wednesday and ended the day with net gains of 103.15 points or 1.05%. In all likelihood, the Markets will continue with their up move on Thursday as well. Barring some consolidation, if at all if there is any, the Markets will be seen attempting to test the 20-DMA levels and will probably try to move beyond that. A buy signal on Stochastic has also emerged on Daily Charts with a bullish divergence in the direction of the major trend.

The levels of 9950 and 9985 will see acting as immediate resistance levels. Supports are likely to come in at 9840 and 9810 zones.

The Relative Strength Index – RSI on the Daily Chart is 50.9435 and it remains neutral showing no divergence. The Daily MACD remains bearish while trading below its signal line but it is sharply narrowing its trajectory.

The Wednesday’s up move has come in with an addition of over 2.60 lakh shares of 3.3% in NIFTY Futures of the current month. This shows that not only the shorts were covered but 
they were replaced with fresh longs as well.

The pattern analysis shows that the Markets have firmly taken support at the lower support line of the channel that it has been trading in. This support also coincide with the 50-DMA and therefore this zone has now reinforced itself as a major pattern support for the Markets.
Though we not see Markets racing towards new highs but we can certainly expect the Markets to continue with the up move from current levels. It is likely to test 20-DMA and might consolidate there. We recommend strictly avoiding shorts and continue to make modest purchases with any minor corrective decline that is seen. Positive outlook is advised for the day.

Milan Vaishnav, CMT 
Technical Analyst 
(Research Analyst, SEBI Reg. No. INH000003341)

Member: 
Market Technicians Association, (MTA), USA
Canadian Society of Technical Analysts, (CSTA), CANADA



+91-98250-16331