Wednesday, March 2, 2016

Daily Market Trend Guide -- Wednesday, March 02, 2016

MARKET REPORT                                                                                    March 02, 2016
Markets staged a huge short-covering led up move and went on to test its original resistance zone of 7220-7240 levels while it ended the day with strong gains. The Markets opened on a modestly positive note but it soon gathered strength. It went on to form gradual intraday highs throughout the session. The strength was evident as the Markets did not gave up any of its gains even once. It remained in upward rising trajectory for the entire day there was not even once that they showed any signs of any weakness or profit taking. Towards the end, it went on to test its critical resistance levels as it formed its intraday high of 7235.50. After hovering around those levels for a while, it finally ended the day at 7222.30, posting a net gain of 235.25 points or 3.37% while forming a sharply higher top and higher bottom on the Daily Bar Charts.

MARKET TREND FOR WEDNESDAY, MARCH 02, 2016
Markets displayed massive strength in a short covering led rally that it witnessed yesterday. Having said this, speaking purely on technical grounds, the Markets should open higher and continue with its up move with the next logical resistance coming in at 50-DMA. Today, given the favorable global set up, it is very much likely that the Markets may see a strong 
opening and technical indicators indicate continuation of the up move.

For today, the levels of 7310 and 7345 are immediate resistance on the Daily Charts. The supports come in at 7240 (in case of gap up opening) and then at 7175 levels.

The RSI—Relative Strength Index on the Daily Chart is 49.6273 and it has reached its highest value in last 14-days which is bullish. Also, RSI has formed a fresh 14-day high but NIFTY has not and this is Bullish Divergence. The MACD has once again reported a positive crossover and it now trades above its signal line.

On the derivative front, the NIFTY futures have gone on to shed some amount of Open Interest. This signifies short covering of open positions. It would be important to see if the Markets see these being replaced by fresh long positions.

Coming to pattern analysis, though the Markets have shown a strong up move, it resisted at the important level of 7240. This is the levels that the Markets breached on the downside on its way down. So, this is the level which is now acting as resistance on the way up. If we get a positive and stronger opening on the expected line and if the Markets consolidate at higher levels, this level should once again act as support. In any case, it would important for the Markets to trade above 7240 in order to capitalize on expected positive opening.

All and all, with the Markets likely to open on a stronger note, it is very much likely that it continues to build further on this. Also, in case of continued up move, it can test its next logical resistance at the 50-DMA levels of 7443. In event of continued up surge, any profits should be strongly guarded at such higher levels. Overall, positive outlook is advised for today.

Milan Vaishnav,
Consulting Technical Analyst

Af. Member: Market Technicians Association, (MTA), USA
Af. Member: Association of Technical Market Analysts, (ATMA), INDIA

+91-98250-16331

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