Tuesday, February 11, 2014

Daily Market Trend Guide -- Tuesday, February 11, 2014

MARKET REPORT                                                                               February 11, 2014
The Markets had a direction-less session yesterday wherein it spent the entire session heading nowhere in a 20-odd points range and ended the  day with marginal losses. The Markets saw a modestly positive opening and formed its intraday high of 6083.05 in the very early minutes of the trade. However, post this opening, the Markets pared its gains in the morning trade and traded flat. Then the entire session was spent in a sideward trajectory in a very narrow range. The markets slipped a bit more toward the end to form the day’s low of 6046.40. It finally ended the day at 6053.45, posting a marginal loss of 9.75 points or 0.16% while forming a similar top and slightly higher bottom on the Daily High Low Charts.

MARKET TREND FOR TODAY

Today, we are once again likely to see a positive opening. The Markets are slated for a modestly positive opening and the analysis for today would remain more or less similar to that of yesterday. It would be necessary for the Markets to remain in positive trajectory failing which it is likely to consolidate again like yesterday on similar lines. Volumes would remain crucial for today as well.

For today, the levels of 6090 and 6140 would act as immediate resistance on the Daily Charts. The supports exist at 6030 and 5975 levels.

The lead indicators continue to remain in place. The RSI—Relative Strength Index on the Daily Chart is 39.0534 and it remains neutral without showing any bullish or bearish divergences or failure swings. The Daily MACD remains bearish as it trades below its signal line but it is moving towards reporting a positive crossover.

On the derivative front, the NIFTY February futures have added 41,650 shares or 0.27% in Open Interest. The Open Interest figures have remained unchanged and this remains a positive sign which signifies that no major offloading has been seen in yesterday’s session.

The Markets have attempted a trend reversal and it is consolidating after its recent pullback from its 200-DMA. To further strengthen this attempt of pullback, it will have to resume its up move and at lest test its 100-DMA levels near 6150, and then move on to confirm the reversal of the trend. During this entire process, the volumes would be very critical. Any up move should be accompanied by volumes in order to sustain at higher levels.

All and all, like yesterday, stock specific actions would continue. It is advised to continue to remain light on the positions at protect profits wherever possible until the directional bias gets clear. Very selective purchases may be made. Overall, cautious optimism is advised for today.

Milan Vaishnav,
Consulting Technical Analyst,
+91-98250-16331



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