MARKET REPORT January
22, 2014
The Markets saw a session which remained capped throughout
the day and witnessed a very range bound movement but still lacking directional
bias. It however maintained its head above the 6300 levels. The Markets opened
on a modestly positive note and soon inched upwards in the morning trade to
form the day’s high of 6330.30. However, in the noon, the Markets as usual did
not sustain those gains. It pared its morning gains to trade flat and dip into
negative for a very brief while as it formed its day’s low of 6297.90 in the
afternoon trade. The volumes continued to deceive as the Markets pulled back
from its intraday lows. It finally managed to end the day at 6313.80, posting a
minor gain of 9.85 points or 0.16% while forming a higher top and higher bottom
on the Daily High Low Charts.
MARKET TREND FOR TODAY
The Markets have continued to remain in a trading range
while maintaining the levels of its 50-DMA as its base and given the technicals
read along with global cues, it is likely to remain so for couple of sessions. Today,
expect the Markets to open on a flat and quiet note and look for directions. To
achieve a directional consensus, it would be important for the Markets to move
past the levels of 6350 with volumes.
The levels of 6345 and 6360 would act as immediate
resistance on the Daily Charts. The supports exist at 6275 and 6240 levels.
The lead indicators continue to remain in place. The RSI—Relative
Strength Index on the Daily Chart is 57.5210 and it continues to remain neutral
as it shows no bullish or bearish divergence or any failure swings. The Daily
MACD remains bullish as it trades above its signal line.
On the derivative front, the NIFTY January futures have
added over 5.69 lakh shares or 3.33% in Open Interest. This continue to signify
that during the range bound consolidation, there have been no significant unwinding
and fresh longs have continued to have been added.
Given the structure of the Daily Charts, the Markets have
remained in a 120-odd point trading range with the levels of 50-DMA acting as
its lower base and support. With the Markets continuing to trade in a narrow
range, the possibility of a breakout has increased and the bias remains on the
upside if lead indicators are read along with F&O data.
All and all, so far today’s session goes, we would continue
to see a quiet opening and a ranged movement in the Markets. Given no
structural breach on the Daily Charts, we continue to advice to strictly
refrain from shorts. Any consolidation period should be utilized to make
selective purchases as the sectoral out performance would continue. While
maintaining adequate liquidity, cautious optimism is advised for today.
Milan Vaishnav,
Consulting Technical Analyst,
+91-98250-16331
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