MARKET REPORT
September 10, 2013
Lead by banks and allied stocks the Markets on Friday had
continued with its up move after a sluggish opening to end the day with smart
gains once again. The Markets opened flat on Friday and soon dipped into the
red to give the day’s low of 5566.15 in the first hour of the trade. The markets
traded with capped losses in the morning session and kept moving in and out of positive
territory. However, from the late morning trade onwards, Markets saw some
strength coming in and this remained through out the session. The Markets kept
making new highs steadily. It went on to give the day’s high of 5688.60, moving
up almost 120-odd points from its day’s low. It hovered around those levels for
a while and ended the day at 5680.40, posting yet another gain of 87.45 points
or 1.56% while continuing to form a higher top and higher bottom on the Daily
High Low Charts.
MARKET TREND FOR TODAY
The Markets will open today after an extended weekend with
the Monday being a trading holiday on account of Ganesh Chaturthi. Today, the
Markets are likely to open on a positive note and continue with its up move.
However, given the rise that we have seen in recent sessions and more
importantly, the opening levels would bring the Markets near its 50-DMA, some
consolidation at these levels post opening is likely.
For today, the levels of 5705 and 5720 are likely to act as
immediate resistance levels on the Daily Charts. The supports exist lower at
5620 and 5590 levels.
The lead indicators continue to remain buoyant. The RSI—Relative
Strength Index on the Daily Chart is 55.5735 and it has reached its highest
value in last 14-days, which is bullish. It does not show any kind of
divergence on the Daily Charts. The Daily MACD continues to trade above its
signal line and is therefore bullish. On the Weekly Charts, the RSI is 47.3103
and it is neutral as it shows no negative divergence or any kind of failure
swings. The Weekly MACD is bearish as it trades below its signal line.
On the derivative front, the NIFTY September futures have
added over 3.08 lakh shares or 1.74% in Open Interest.
Given the above reading, the lead indicators and the F&O
data remains steady and positive and this may cause the Markets to continue with
its up move. However, we cannot rule out the fact that today’s opening and
further possible up move shall take the Markets near its 50-DMA and some
consolidation or minor profit taking from those levels cannot be ruled out.
All and all, today, intraday trajectory would continue to
remain crucially important. It would be important to see if the Markets
sustains the opening gains as some consolidation / minor profit taking cannot
be ruled out. However, it is advised to strictly refrain from creating shorts
but profits in long positions should be protected vigilantly. Overall, cautious
optimism is advised for today.
Milan Vaishnav,
Consulting Technical Analyst,
+91-98250-16331
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