Thursday, November 29, 2012

Daily Market Trend Guide -- Thursday, November 29, 2012

MARKET TREND FOR TODAY                                                    November 29, 2012
The Markets remained shut yesterday on account of “Gurunanak Jayanti” . On Tuesday, the Markets had a extremely buoyant session as it opened positive and remained in positive territory all throughout the session ended the day on a very strong note. The Markets opened positive and kept making new intraday highs during the day. Towards the end of the session, it gave an intraday high of 5733.20. It maintained those levels until the end of the session and ended the day on a very buoyant note at 5727.45, posting a strong gain of 91.55 points or 1.62% while forming a sharply higher top and higher bottom on the Daily High Low Charts.

Today, the Markets are expected to open on a flat note and look for directions. The Markets have resisted to its resistance levels of 5730  and if it opens below this, then this level might act as resistance. On the upside, this may act as supports but the Markets still continue to remain in a broad trading range, the upper end being the 5800-5820 levels. Thus, the opening of the Markets and the intraday trajectory it forms shall continue to play critical roll in deciding the  trend for today.

The levels of 5730 and 5800 shall act as resistance and the supports come very low  at around 5630 and 5575 levels.

The RSI—Relative Strength Index on the Daily Chart is 60.3629 and it is neutral as it shows no negative / positive divergence or failure swings. The MACD has turned bullish as it has reported a positive crossover and it now trades above its signal line.

Having said this, it is important to note that today is the expiry day of the current November Derivative Series and the session is likely to remain heavily dominated with rollover centric activities. The Markets have continued to remain in a very broad trading range and it has not been out of it as yet.

All and all, in case of negative opening, 5730 shall pose a resistance and in case of positive opening 5800 shall pose important and major resistance to the Markets. In the initial session, the opening levels of the Markets and the intraday trajectory that it forms thereafter shall be critical for today.

Overall, mildly positive session can be expected. The session is also likely to remain volatile owing to rollovers and the Markets may still continue to remain in a range. Selective purchases may be made and sectoral out performance may be seen. However, it is strongly  advised to remain highly selective and keep protecting profits on either side of the trade.

Milan Vaishnav,
Consulting Technical Analyst,
+91-98250-16331


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