MARKET TREND FOR TODAY
July 3, 2012
Yesterday was a day of positive consolidation for the
Markets as the Markets ended the day and refused to correct even after the
robust gain on Friday. The Markets opened moderately positive and remained in a
very narrow range until the early afternoon trade. It slipped a bit in the
afternoon trade as it gave its intraday low of 5263.35. However, it saw a good
amount of recovery in the later part of the session. It not only recovered its
losses, but went on to give the day’s high of 5302.15. However the narrow
recovery fizzled out in the last hour
and half of trade as the Markets ended the day at 5278.60 posting a negligible
loss of 0.30 points or 0.01%. The turnover remained much lower than the
average. The Markets have formed a higher top and sharply higher bottom on the
Daily High Low charts.
After a day of positive consolidation yesterday, there are
all chances that the Markets continue with its up move today. Today, we can
expect a positive start to the Markets and the Markets may open and trade
positive, and continue with its up move at least in the initial session. The
Markets will have to move past the levels of 5305 in order to continue the
upward momentum. The intraday trajectory would be critical to see if the
Markets moves past this levels or continues to consolidate.
The levels of 5305 and 5328 shall act as resistance on the charts and the
levels of 5230 and 5190 shall act as immediate supports.
The RSI—Relative Strength Index on the Daily Chart is
67.4099 and it is neutral as it shows no negative divergence or failure swings.
The Daily MACD continues to remain bullish as it trades above its signal line.
The NIFTY and Stock Futures have continued to add open
interest indicating buoyant under current. The low volumes yesterday were the
clear indicators of consolidation and the buoyancy that lies underneath.
Having said this, the Markets have some steam left on the
upside. The action has turned very stock specific and sector specific. However,
with the upward momentum expected to continue it would be essential to have a
very stock specific approach. With the Market nearing its Overbought range the
actions would have to be less aggressive.
All and all, positive day ahead. Even if the Markets
consolidates, it is then expected to do it intraday and on lower volumes. The
under current remains intact. Stock specific approach is advised. The profits
will have to be protected at higher
levels. While strictly avoiding shorts, positive outlook is advised for today.
Milan
Vaishnav,
Consulting
Technical Analyst,
+91-98250-16331
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