Friday, September 15, 2017

MARKET OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY, SEP 15, 2017

MARKET OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY, SEP 15, 2017
The Indian Equity Markets consolidated on expected lines of Thursday as the benchmark Index NIFTY50 remained in a narrow range and lacked any specific directional bias. The NIFTY ended the day with negligible gains of 7.30 points or 0.7%. On Friday, we expect a quiet start and expect the NIFTY to continue to consolidate. Though there may not be any major downsides, the zone of 10130-10150 will continue to pose stiff resistance to the Markets. In the coming days, we expect the Markets to oscillate in a defined range. Though any major downsides and structural breach are unlikely, NIFTY will also not show any runaway rise significantly beyond its life time highs.

The levels of 10140 and 10195 will continue to act as immediate resistance levels for the Markets. The supports will come in at 10050 and 9975 zones.

The RSI—Relative Strength Index on the Daily Chart is 62.3038 and it stays neutral showing no divergences against the price. The Daily MACD is bullish while trading above its signal line but it has flattened its trajectory.

The pattern analysis show that the though the Markets continue to remain the multi-month upward rising channel, of late it has been struggling in a very narrow range near the upper Bollinger band. The major supports that the Markets have are the 20-DMA and the 50-DMA which remain in extremely close vicinity.

Overall, we feel that some consolidation is likely to continue with some more amount of volatility remaining ingrained in it. High levels of PCR (Put to Call Ratio) and some signs of fatigue on the lead indicators are expected to keep Markets under check and keep them in a broad range bound consolidation. In the given circumstances, while continuing to make purchases with all dips, vigilant protection of profits will be necessary as well at higher levels.

Milan Vaishnav, CMT, MSTA
Technical Analyst 
(Research Analyst, SEBI Reg. No. INH000003341)


Member: 
CMT Association (Formerly known as Market Technicians Association, (MTA), USA
Canadian Society of Technical Analysts, (CSTA), CANADA
Society of Technical Analysts (STA), UK  


+91- 70164-32277  /  +91-98250-16331  

Thursday, September 14, 2017

MARKET OUTLOOK FOR THURSDAY, SEP 14, 2017

MARKET OUTLOOK FOR THURSDAY, SEP 14, 2017
We had mentioned the level of 10130 to potentially act as a serious resistance to the Markets on Wednesday. The benchmark NIFTY50 opened on a subdued note but got stronger as the session progressed marking the high at 10131.95 and came off nearly 70-odd points from the high of the day to Close with minor loss of 13.75 points or 0.14%. Today on Thursday, we expect a quiet start to the Markets. We expect the Markets to consolidate and remain vulnerable to profit taking bouts but inherent bias will continue to remain positive. Large numbers of shorts that are seen are likely to keep any corrective downsides limited.

The levels of 10130 will continue to act as resistance level along with 10185. The supports exist at 10025 and 9960 zones.

The Relative Strength Index – RSI on the Daily Chart is 61.8782 and remains neutral showing no divergences against the price. The Daily MACD stays bullish while continuing to trade above its signal line. No significant formations were seen on Candles.

The pattern analysis show that the NIFTY has successfully broken out of the congestion zone that the Index had created over past couple of days. The NIFTY continues to trade comfortably in the multi-month upward rising channel.

All and all, the NIFTY PCR too remains near recent highs. The Markets remain vulnerable to profit taking bouts from higher levels but the large number of shorts that exist in the system shall keep the downsides limited. We recommend refraining from creating short positions as short trap may occur at lower levels. Markets are likely to continue to consolidate with positive bias. We continue to recommend making select purchases with each downside while maintaining cautiously positive outlook for the day.

Milan Vaishnav, CMT 
Technical Analyst 
(Research Analyst, SEBI Reg. No. INH000003341)


Member: 
CMT Association (Formerly known as Market Technicians Association, (MTA), USA
Canadian Society of Technical Analysts, (CSTA), CANADA
Associate International Member:
Society of Technical Analysts (STA), UK  


+91- 70164-32277  /  +91-98250-16331