Friday, July 14, 2017

MARKET OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY, JULY 14, 2017

MARKET OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY, JULY 14, 2017
Global positivity fueled by Federal Reserve’s Chair Janet Yellen’s comments coupled with favorable macro economic data pushed the buoyant Markets even higher as the benchmark NIFTY50 scaled yet another fresh high and ended the day with decent gain of 75.60 points or 0.77%. On Friday, a positive start yet again is expected. Despite the overbought nature of the Markets which certainly compels the participants to remain vigilant at these levels, buoyancy is likely to persist in the Markets going ahead.

The levels of 9935 and 9960 are likely to act as resistances ahead as we remain in the uncharted territory, supports will come in at 9820 and 9750 zones.

The Relative Strength Index – RSI on the Daily Chart is 76.2165 and it has marked a fresh 14-week high which is bullish. However, it trades in overbought territory. The Daily MACD stays bullish while trading above its signal line. On Candles, a rising window occurred. This is essentially a gap which indicates buoyant uptrend to persist and continue.

Pattern breakout is seen as the Markets continue to chart in uncharted territory marking higher tops and higher bottom in a rising channel. It is approaching the measuring implications of the breakout that occurred from 8900-8950 levels but it still has some distance to travel.

The Markets are overbought and the lead indicators remain in overbought territory. This certainly warrants caution from the Market participants but it is much evident from the F&O data and the overall structure that the buoyancy is likely to persist. We reiterate to avoid shorts at any levels, remain stock specific and continue to protect profits at higher levels vigilantly while we chase the momentum.

Milan Vaishnav, CMT 
Technical Analyst 
(Research Analyst, SEBI Reg. No. INH000003341)

Member
Market Technicians Association, (MTA), USA
Canadian Society of Technical Analysts, (CSTA), CANADA



+91-98250-16331 

Thursday, July 13, 2017

MARKET OUTLOOK FOR THURSDAY, JULY 13, 2017

MARKET OUTLOOK FOR THURSDAY, JULY 13, 2017
Markets continued to scale fresh highs amid tentative mood as the benchmark NIFTY ended yet another day with gains ending the day with rise of 30.05 points or 0.31%. We expect a positive opening on Thursday and we see that Markets will continue to attempt to move up on a very cautious note. We are likely to see global markets reacting positively to Yellen’s testimony wherein it was indicated that Fed would need to keep gradually raising its benchmark interest rate over next few years, but that rate won’t need to rise to levels seen in previous cycles. We see Indian Markets too receiving this positively.

The levels of 9840 and 9900 are likely resistances ahead of us. The supports come in at 9770 and 9725 zones.

The Relative Strength Index – RSI on the Daily Chart is 72.1126. Though it trades in overbought trajectory, it has continued to mark fresh 14-period high which is bullish. The Daily MACD stays bullish while trading above its signal line.

The pattern analysis show NIFTY moving past the resistance of a rising trend line successfully after a brief breach on the downside. This rising line will continue to act as support for the Markets in the immediate short term.

All and all, we are set to see a positive opening but at the same time, we cannot discard the fact that we need to continue to approach the Markets with caution given its overbought nature. We will see buoyancy being reflected in the session but it is recommended that the Markets should be approached with caution and each fresh purchase should be monitored in a very vigilant manner going ahead.

Milan Vaishnav, CMT
Technical Analyst
(Research Analyst, SEBI Reg. No. INH000003341)
Member:
Market Technicians Association, (MTA), USA
Canadian Society of Technical Analysts, (CSTA), CANADA