Tuesday, November 21, 2017

MARKET OUTLOOK FOR TUESDAY, NOV 21, 2017

MARKET OUTLOOK FOR TUESDAY, NOV 21, 2017
Indian Equity Markets headed nowhere as the benchmark NIFTY50 oscillated in a narrow and defined range before ending the day with minor gains of 15.15 points or 0.15%. Despite minor gains on Monday, the level of 10345 was not breached on the upside. Going into trade on Tuesday, this level will pose important resistance to the Markets. We might see the Markets remaining vulnerable at higher levels to some profit taking or some consolidation with the zones of 10180-10200 acting as strong base. As of now, NIFTY has attempted to take support at its short term 20-DMA.

The levels of 10345 and 10365 will continue to pose resistance to any up move that the Markets may attempt. The Supports come in lower at 10200 and 10140 zones.

The Relative Strength Index – RSI on the Daily Chart is 54.8001 and it remains neutral showing no divergences against the price. The Daily MACD is still bearish while it trades below its signal line. No major formations were observed on Candles.

Having a look at pattern analysis, with the NIFTY not having yet cleared and moved past the levels of 10345, we can consider this as an intermediate short term resistance to the Markets. We can consider it as a lower top formed after 10490 levels marking a formidable resistance area.

As of now, the NIFTY has managed to cling to its short term support of 20-DMA. Also, with the Markets trading above all of the Moving Averages, there are all chances that we still see it continue to consolidate. Despite long term buoyant set up, the Markets will find it difficult to move past 10345-10365 levels and until that happens, we will have to continue to protect profits at higher levels adopt a cautious view on the Markets.

Milan Vaishnav, CMT, MSTA
Technical Analyst 
(Research Analyst, SEBI Reg. No. INH000003341)


Member: 
CMT Association (Formerly known as Market Technicians Association, (MTA), USA
Canadian Society of Technical Analysts, (CSTA), CANADA
Society of Technical Analysts (STA), UK  


+91- 70164-32277  /  +91-98250-16331  

Monday, November 20, 2017

MARKET OUTLOOK FOR MONDAY, NOV 20, 2017

MARKET OUTLOOK FOR MONDAY, NOV 20, 2017
The Indian Equity Markets reacted positively to the Moody’s upgrade of India’s sovereign rating the benchmark NIFTY50 ended with gains of 68.85 points or 0.67%. Going to trade on Monday, the Markets find themselves in a little tricky situation. We are not disputing the primary uptrend which remains firmly in place, but if we speak of immediate short term, then we may see NIFTY once again being forced into some consolidation. The Friday’s high is likely to pose important resistance despite the long term setup remaining quite buoyant.
The levels of 10340 and 10365 will play out as immediate resistance levels for the Markets. Supports come in at 10250 and 20190 zones.

The Relative Strength Index – RSI on the Daily Chart is 53.7832 and it remains neutral showing no divergences against the price. The Daily MACD stays bearish while trading above its signal line. On the Candles, a rising window has emerged. This usually implies continuation of the up move but it requires confirmation on the following trading day.

The pattern analysis makes once thing very evident that the Markets suffered a 100% throwback after breaking out from 10180-10200 zones. In event of any further consolidation, we can expect these levels to act as important support followed by the 50-DMA of the Markets.

As mentioned, despite the overall long term trend remaining firmly in place, the fact that the NIFTY pared nearly half of its gains before Close on Friday would remain an immediate concern. There are all chances that Monday’s session may see the Friday’s high of 10343 acting as immediate resistance and the Markets facing some more consolidation.  We continue to recommend remaining highly stock specific as some isolated out-performances would continue to persist. While avoiding shorts, we recommend cautious view on the Markets for the day.

Milan Vaishnav, CMT, MSTA
Technical Analyst 
(Research Analyst, SEBI Reg. No. INH000003341)


Member: 
CMT Association (Formerly known as Market Technicians Association, (MTA), USA
Canadian Society of Technical Analysts, (CSTA), CANADA
Society of Technical Analysts (STA), UK  


+91- 70164-32277  /  +91-98250-16331