Tuesday, November 7, 2017

MARKET OUTLOOK FOR TUESDAY, NOV 07, 2017


MARKET OUTLOOK FOR TUESDAY, NOV 07, 2017
Volatility crept in the Monday’s session as the NIFTY swung 60-odd points on either side before ending completely flat with negligible gain of 0.70 points or 0.01%. Though the benchmark NIFTY 50 came off swiftly from the opening lows, it came off from the highs as well before ending flat. The Markets not declining is certainly a show of strength but the overbought nature of the Markets coupled with very less intraday trading bands is certainly to keep market participants on toes. We expect such fierce consolidation to continue before Markets attempts a fresh up move.

The levels of 10490 and 10525 will be important levels to watch for Tuesday. Supports come in at 10410 and 10350 zones.

The Relative Strength Index –RSI on the Daily Chart is 71.0366 and it remains neutral showing no divergence against the price. The Daily MACD is bullish while it trades above its signal line. No significant formations were seen on candles.

The pattern analysis clearly shows the NIFTY attempting to briefly consolidate and attempt a fresh up move. However, the overbought nature of the Markets may keep the Index under consolidation for some more time.

All and all, even after such up move and the Markets showing no signs of decline is certainly a show of underlying strength. However, it also needs to be noted that couple of previous up moves have come with highly fractured market breadth which remains a important technical worry for the Markets. There are great chances that the Markets continue to remain volatile and remain vulnerable to short term corrective spikes. Also, it is highly likely to remain stock specific in nature. Cautious view is advised for today.

Milan Vaishnav, CMT, MSTA
Technical Analyst 
(Research Analyst, SEBI Reg. No. INH000003341)

Member: 
CMT Association (Formerly known as Market Technicians Association, (MTA), USA
Canadian Society of Technical Analysts, (CSTA), CANADA
Society of Technical Analysts (STA), UK  


+91- 70164-32277  /  +91-98250-16331  

Monday, November 6, 2017

MARKET OUTLOOK FOR MONDAY, NOV 06, 2017

MARKET OUTLOOK FOR MONDAY, NOV 06, 2017
In a slightly volatile session on Friday, the benchmark NIFTY50 recouped all of its initial losses to end the day with modest gain of 28.70 points or 0.28%. While taking a broad view of the technical structure of NIFTY, we continue to keep our analysis on similar lines for Monday’s trade. The Markets are overbought, but strong. In all likelihood, NIFTY is likely to keep pushing itself for minor marginal highs but at the same will also continue to remain vulnerable for consolidation at higher levels.

The  levels we will now watch out for at higher levels would be 10465 and 10510. Supports for the Markets would be around 10375 and 10350 zones.

The Relative Strength Index – RSI on the Daily Chart is 71.1196. It trades slightly in overbought territory. RSI also continues to show Bearish Divergence as RSI has not made a fresh 14-period high while the NIFTY did so. The Daily MACD remains bullish while trading above its signal line. On the Candles, a candle with a long lower shadow occurred. This is much similar to a Hanging Man formation and can potentially disrupt an up move. This needs confirmation on the following day.

The pattern analysis shows that the NIFTY, which formed a broad rectangle formation in the 9685-10200 range is attempting to reach its measuring implication after breaking out from this formation. It is midway and might face some consolidation at current levels.

Overall, significant addition in Open Interest with a modest rise shows the underlying strength in the Markets. Also, with shorts being added with each minor downside in the Markets also provide enough cushion in event of any consolidation of minor corrective downsides. All in all, we will continue to see the NIFTY pushing itself for marginal highs and we recommend chasing momentum if that happens. However, caution levels will have to be kept at elevated levels as overall structure of the technical charts keep Markets vulnerable to some consolidation and volatile movements at higher levels.

Milan Vaishnav, CMT, MSTA
Technical Analyst 
(Research Analyst, SEBI Reg. No. INH000003341)


Member: 
CMT Association (Formerly known as Market Technicians Association, (MTA), USA
Canadian Society of Technical Analysts, (CSTA), CANADA
Society of Technical Analysts (STA), UK  


+91- 70164-32277  /  +91-98250-16331