Wednesday, October 4, 2017

MARKET OUTLOOK FOR WEDNESDAY, OCT 04, 2017

MARKET OUTLOOK FOR WEDNESDAY, OCT 04, 2017
The Indian Equities had a buoyant session on expected lines as the benchmark NIFTY50 ended the day with net gains of 70.90 points or 0.72%. Though the session remained extremely range bound, the positive point was that it maintained its gains all throughout the day. Going into Wednesday, we expect a positive start and expect the Markets to continue with its pullback. The important point to note was the Tuesday’s intraday high. The zones of 9895-9915 are the zone where the Markets resisted and this is the area of the trend line of the rising channel that he Markets breached on the downside. Going ahead, this is likely to act as resistance and it would be important for the Markets to move past this area.

The levels of 9915 and 9940 will act as immediate resistance area for the Markets. Supports come in at 9820 and 9775 zones.

The Relative Strength Index – RSI on the Daily Chart is 44.6515 and remains neutral showing no divergence against the price. Daily MACD is bearish as it trades below its signal line. No significant formation on Candles is observed.

Going by the pattern analysis, it is observed that the NIFTY has breached the upward rising channel on the downside and while pulling back, it has resisted to the rising trend line of that channel. So, what was support earlier is now acting as a resistance.

As mentioned above, it would be important for the Markets to move past the 9895-9915 zones in order to go back into the upward rising channel. Going on from there, the NIFTY will have 50-DMA 9945 to tackle with. However, given all this, we see that the Markets will continue to trade on positive lines with outright out-performance from select pockets. We expect the pullback to continue and unless the critical levels of 9685 is broken, all downsides should be utilized to make select purchases.

Milan Vaishnav, CMT, MSTA
Technical Analyst 
(Research Analyst, SEBI Reg. No. INH000003341)


Member: 
CMT Association (Formerly known as Market Technicians Association, (MTA), USA
Canadian Society of Technical Analysts, (CSTA), CANADA
Society of Technical Analysts (STA), UK  


+91- 70164-32277  /  +91-98250-16331  

Tuesday, October 3, 2017

MARKET OUTLOOK FOR TUESDAY, OCT 03, 2017

MARKET OUTLOOK FOR TUESDAY, OCT 03, 2017
Caution weighed heavy on Friday in the last hour and half of trade as the decent pullback in the benchmark NIFTY50 turned out to be a session with just modest gains as the Markets ended the day with gains of just 19.65 points or 0.20%. On Tuesday, the Indian Markets will begin the week after a long Weekend and is expected to start on a stable note. We expect the Markets to open on a modestly positive and stable note and is expected to continue to trade in a defined range with the levels of 9685 acting as key supports.

Tuesday will see the levels of 9850 and 9875 acting as resistance levels while supports are expected to come in at 9740 and 9685 zones.

The Relative Strength Index – RSI on the Daily Chart is 38.5208 and remains neutral showing no divergences against the price. The Daily MACD is bearish while it trades below its signal line but it has flattened its trajectory. No significant formations were observed on Candles.

The pattern analysis shows that the NIFTY has taken support once again at the previous immediate low of 9685. It has pulled back once again while marking this area as a major pattern support. It now trades in a broad trading range as marked on the Charts.

It is very much evident that given the sharp corrective move from 10179 levels, the primary uptrend remains disrupted. However, it should also be noted that there are no signs of any trend reversal as well. So long as NIFTY trades above 9685 zones, it is recommended that shorts should be strictly avoided. Until the Markets catch the directional bias again, we can utilize the dips to make select purchases. Cautiously positive approach is advised for the day.

Milan Vaishnav, CMT, MSTA
Technical Analyst 
(Research Analyst, SEBI Reg. No. INH000003341)


Member: 
CMT Association (Formerly known as Market Technicians Association, (MTA), USA
Canadian Society of Technical Analysts, (CSTA), CANADA
Society of Technical Analysts (STA), UK  


+91- 70164-32277  /  +91-98250-16331