Thursday, August 24, 2017

MARKET OUTLOOK FOR THURSDAY, AUG 24, 2017

MARKET OUTLOOK FOR THURSDAY, AUG 24, 2017
The Markets saw a sharp up move on Wednesday mainly led by short covering and this saw the benchmark NIFTY50 ending the session with net gains of 86.95 points or 0.89%. With this, for the second time in this month, the level of 50-DMA and its filter which also happens to be the previous immediate low of 9685 stands validated and remains a sacrosanct support for the Markets in the immediate short term. We expect a quiet start to the session on Thursday and will see volatility to persist as we have a short week with Friday being a trading holiday.

The levels of 9875 and 9920 will act as likely resistance levels for the Markets on Thursday. Supports can be expected at 9800 and 9865 zones.

The Relative Strength Index – RSI on the Daily Chart is 49.1959 and it remains neutral not showing any bullish or bearish divergence. The Daily MACD still continues to remain bearish while trading below its signal line but it has started to narrow its trajectory. No significant formations are seen on Candles.

The pattern analysis shows that the levels of 50-DMA has once again provided support to the Markets and the Markets have closed up comfortably above it. In event of any consolidation continuing, this 50-DMA level is expected to continue to act as support followed by its immediate previous low of 9685.

Overall, the Markets continue to remain under fierce consolidation. Having said this, we continue to recommend maintaining a watchful eye on the Markets. Markets are currently not completely out of the woods and might still resist to its immediate short term 20-DMA. All this translate into one thing. Though we averted any serious weakness as of now, runaway rise too should not be expected. We continue to recommend maintaining stock specific and cautious outlook on the Markets.

Milan Vaishnav, CMT 
Technical Analyst 
(Research Analyst, SEBI Reg. No. INH000003341)

Member
Market Technicians Association, (MTA), USA
Canadian Society of Technical Analysts, (CSTA), CANADA



+91-98250-16331 

Wednesday, August 23, 2017

MARKET OUTLOOK FOR WEDNESDAY, AUG 23, 2017

MARKET OUTLOOK FOR WEDNESDAY, AUG 23, 2017
The benchmark NIFTY50 failed to capitalize on a buoyant opening that it got in Tuesday’s trade and ended the day after oscillating in a capped range with minor gain of 11.20 points or 0.11%. The NIFTY has ended the day a notch below its 50-DMA but remains within its filter and trades above critically important pattern support. We expect a modestly positive start to the Markets on Wednesday. However, the overall reading remains very much on similar lines and the 50-DMA and the levels of 9685 will remain critically important levels to that the NIFTY will have to guard.

The levels of 9830 and 9865 will act as resistance levels for Wednesday. Supports are expected to come in at 9710 and 9685.

The Relative Strength Index --  RSI on the Daily Chart is 42.7262 and it remains neutral showing no divergences of any kind against the price. Daily MACD stays bearish while trading below its signal line. No significant formation was observed on Candles.

The pattern analysis shows that the Markets are desperately hanging on to the lower support line of the multi-month channel that it has been trading in. The previous immediate low of 9685 also happens to be the filter levels of 50-DMA and therefore this pattern support along with these levels will have to be critically observed.

All and all, it is of paramount importance that NIFTY crawls back above its 50-DMA level once again. If it crawls back above 50-DMA, then even if the Markets continue to consolidate, the weakness can be averted. However, more the NIFTY persists below 50-DMA, greater will be the probability that it will tests its filter and previous support point of 9685. We continue to recommend extremely cautious and stock specific view on the Markets for today.

Milan Vaishnav, CMT 
Technical Analyst 
(Research Analyst, SEBI Reg. No. INH000003341)

Member
Market Technicians Association, (MTA), USA
Canadian Society of Technical Analysts, (CSTA), CANADA



+91-98250-16331