Thursday, June 15, 2017

MARKET OUTLOOK FOR THURSDAY, JUNE 15, 2017

MARKET OUTLOOK FOR THURSDAY, JUNE 15, 2017
The Markets saw a sharp recovery from the low point of the day and recovered all of its intraday losses on Wednesday to end the day with minor gain of 11.25 points or 0.12%. We expect a quiet start to the Markets tomorrow. Further to this we do not expect any run-away up move in the Markets as the recovery that we saw on Wednesday has been evidently due to short covering from lower levels. Since the NIFTY took support at its short term 20-DMA, this level will continue to play out as support in the near term and the zones of 9570-9600 will remain critical to watch out for.

The levels of 9640 and 9675 will act as resistance in the coming session. Supports come in at 9570 and 9510 zones.

The Relative Strength Index – RSI on the Daily Chart is 60.4025 and remains neutral showing no divergences against the price. The Daily MACD continues to remain bearish. On the Candles, a candle with a long lower shadow has emerged with a spinning top. The long lower shadow remains significant as it has occurred near a support. It is likely to potentially halt the decline. However, this need confirmation in the following session.

Going by pattern analysis, the NIFTY has so far managed to cling on to its short term pattern support of 20-DMA. So long as it manages to hang on above this, we will see ranged consolidation continuing.

All and all, there is evident tentativeness in the Markets. In the immediate short term, we see higher chances of minor corrective activities to continue. The levels of 9570-9600 will be important because any dip below this will bring in some more weakness in the immediate short term. We will see sectors being rotated and stock specific out-performance will be seen.

Milan Vaishnav, CMT 

Technical Analyst 
(Research Analyst, SEBI Reg. No. INH000003341)

Member

Market Technicians Association, (MTA), USA
Canadian Society of Technical Analysts, (CSTA), CANADA




+91-98250-16331 

Wednesday, June 14, 2017

MARKET OUTLOOK FOR WEDNESDAY, JUNE 14, 2017

MARKET OUTLOOK FOR WEDNESDAY, JUNE 14, 2017
Though the Indian Equity Markets on Tuesday ended with very a nominal loss of 9.50 points or 0.10%, the benchmark NIFTY50 declined just short of 60-odd points from the high point of the day. This is enough sign in the Markets that participants have turned cautious and for Wednesday, the level of 9600 is crucial to watch for. It would be important for the Markets to keep its head above 9600 and any dip below this will increase the chances of the Markets testing its short term 20-DMA around 9565-9550 levels.

For Wednesday, while resistance stands at 9645 and 9670, supports come in at 9565 and 9520 levels.

The Relative Strength Index – RSI on the Daily Chart 59.3684 and it has marked a fresh 14-period low which is bearish. RSI has also gone on to market a fresh 14-period low while NIFTY has not done so. This has resulted into Bearish Divergence. The Daily MACD remains bearish while it trades below its signal line.

The pattern analysis suggests that NIFTY continues to remain above the rising trend line drawn from 9200 level. However, given the rising nature of the trend line, it will not be long that even if the NIFTY consolidates, it falls below this trend line.

Overall, there are enough signals that corrective activities may continue and in the given circumstances, the levels of 9600 will be critical to watch out for. However, there would be no structural breach on the Charts even if the Markets slip below 9600 mark to test its short term 20-DMA. We reiterate very cautious view on the Markets and recommend keeping overall exposure on very moderate levels.

Milan Vaishnav, CMT 
Technical Analyst 
(Research Analyst, SEBI Reg. No. INH000003341)

Member
Market Technicians Association, (MTA), USA
Canadian Society of Technical Analysts, (CSTA), CANADA



+91-98250-16331