Tuesday, June 13, 2017

MARKET OUTLOOK FOR TUESDAY, JUNE 13, 2017

MARKET OUTLOOK FOR TUESDAY, JUNE 13, 2017
The Indian Equity Markets witnessed a long overdue but healthy corrective activity on Monday as the benchmark NIFTY50 posted a modest decline while ending the day with net loss of 51.85 points or 0.54%. Again, while not expecting any significant downside, we expect a quiet start to the Markets and in all likelihood; we expect such corrective activity to continue. The levels of 9600-9550 zone will be important to watch for in the immediate short term. The breach of 9550 zone will bring in some more weakness in the Markets.

For Tuesday, the levels of 9600 and 9550 will act as important support levels. On the upper side, the zones of 9650-9675 will act as immediate resistance.

The Relative Strength Index – RSI on the Daily Chart is 60.6096 and it remains neutral showing no divergences against the price. The Daily MACD has reported a negative crossover and it now trades below its signal line which is bearish.

The NIFTY also shed over 1.90 lakh or 0.87% in Open Interest. This indicates that the decline that we saw on Monday has been on account of long unwinding in the Markets.

The pattern analysis still shows the Markets hanging on above the rising trend line that is drawn from 9200 levels. Given its rising nature, the NIFTY has immediate support at 9600 and then at 9550 in form of its 20-DMA.

All and all, Markets are not yet fully out of the woods and there are high chances that the corrective activities will continue. Stock specific out-performance will be very evidently seen. However, the zones of 9600-9550 will remain extremely important to watch out for. We reiterate maintaining cautious out-look on the Markets while keeping exposures at modest levels.

Milan Vaishnav, CMT 
Technical Analyst 
(Research Analyst, SEBI Reg. No. INH000003341)

Member
Market Technicians Association, (MTA), USA
Canadian Society of Technical Analysts, (CSTA), CANADA



+91-98250-16331 

Monday, June 12, 2017

MARKET OUTLOOK FOR MONDAY, JUNE 12, 2017

MARKET OUTLOOK FOR MONDAY, JUNE 12, 2017
Last week, the Markets headed nowhere and on similar lines, we see the week beginning on a flat note. In Friday’s trade, the benchmark NIFTY50 saw itself ending with modest gains of 21 points or 0.22% but we see all likelihood of a tepid start on Monday. Even if we see modest gains, the overall upsides are very much likely to remain capped at 9710 levels. No significant upsides can be expected until the Markets moves past these levels. Range bound oscillations are set to persist and continue.

The levels of 9680 and 9710 will act as resistance levels. The supports come in at 9580 and 9550 zones.

The Relative Strength Index – RSI on the Daily Chart is 67.7924 and it remains neutral showing no divergences against the price. The Daily MACD is bullish as it continues to trade above its signal line but its trajectory is flattened. No significant formations are observed on Candles.

The NIFTY saw shedding of over 1.88 lakh shares or 0.85% in Open Interest. Given the spurt that we saw in last hour of the trade, we can fairly attribute this to the short covering. Key would be to see if this gets replaced with fresh buying.

The pattern analysis suggests NIFTY comfortably trading above the rising trend line drawn from 9200 levels. Any mild correction can see the NIFTY testing 9600 levels.

All and all, though there may be some intermittent upsides that we may see, the Markets overall remains very much overbought on Weekly Charts. Given this fact, any upsides, until the levels of 9710 are breached, will see chances of profit taking bouts from higher levels. We continue to reiterate caution and advise moderate exposure while protecting profits at higher levels.

Milan Vaishnav, CMT 
Technical Analyst 
(Research Analyst, SEBI Reg. No. INH000003341)

Member
Market Technicians Association, (MTA), USA
Canadian Society of Technical Analysts, (CSTA), CANADA



+91-98250-16331