Sunday, May 21, 2017

MARKET OUTLOOK FOR MONDAY, MAY 08, 2017

MARKET OUTLOOK FOR MONDAY, MAY 08, 2017
The Indian Equity Markets on Friday witnessed a corrective bout of activity once again as the benchmark NIFTY50 remained in downward trajectory for the entire session while ending the day with net loss of 74.60 points or 0.80%. The Friday’s session remained significant as it reinforced the importance of levels of 9365-9370 as a major and immediate resistance. On Monday, we might expect a minor opening uptick but all and all, the corrective action within a defined range will continue.

The levels of 9330 and 9370 will act as immediate resistance while supports will come in at 9250 and 9225 zones.

The Relative Strength Index – RSI on the Daily Charts is 57.8490 and stays neutral. The Daily MACD is still bullish as it trades above its signal line. But in all likelihood it is moving towards negative crossover. A big black candle has emerged. This holds significance as it has occurred near a resistance area and thus reinforces the credibility of the resistance zone.

The pattern analysis show that while maintaining the primary uptrend and remaining in upward rising channel, the NIFTY met with multiple pattern resistance near the 9350-9375 zones. The rally halted here and the Markets since then have been moving sideways in a broad trading range remaining in consolidation once again.

 Though we have often reiterated that the primary uptrend remains intact, we wish to stress that we might see some prolonged period of consolidation until the levels of 9370 are breached on the upside. We will see Markets continuing to trade in a defined range while remaining mildly volatile. No immediate upsides are likely to occur before the Markets attempts to breach its previous high. Overall, positive caution is advised for the day.

Milan Vaishnav, CMT 
Technical Analyst 
(Research Analyst, SEBI Reg. No. INH000003341)

Member
Market Technicians Association, (MTA), USA
Canadian Society of Technical Analysts, (CSTA), CANADA



+91-98250-16331 

MARKET OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY, MAY 05, 2017

MARKET OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY, MAY 05, 2017
The Indian Markets consolidated on a positive note on Thursday and had a buoyant session while it ended with net gains of 47.95 points or 0.51%. The benchmark NIFTY50 has gone on to end at yet another record high on Close charts but there are plenty of signs that show that the consolidation will continue and the NIFTY is likely to see some volatility at higher levels while keeping the underlying sentiment very buoyant and intact. Friday is expected to see a quiet opening but the up move are likely to meet with volatility and intermittent profit taking bouts. The Index remained mainly supported by banks.

The levels of 9380 and 9425 are likely resistance levels on the Daily Charts. The supports come in much lower at 9275 and 9250 zones.

The Relative Strength Index – RSI on the Daily Chart is 67.2032 and it has shown Bearish Divergence as the NIFTY formed a fresh 14-period high while RSI did not. The Daily MACD still remains bullish. On Candles, a long lower shadow has occurred. This reinforces the importance of the resistance levels at which it occurred and also holds the potential to halting the up move when occurs near resistance.

The pattern analysis continues to show buoyant undercurrents. On the Close Charts, the 
NIFTY has ended at fresh high while on the intraday Chats; it is yet to mark a fresh high. It continues to trade sideways in a very narrow zone and it explicitly shows which is known as “classical consolidation” in very strong and buoyant markets.

All and all, we continue to reiterate very high caution at current levels. Despite underlying buoyancy, the Markets still remain evidently prone to sharp and volatile profit taking bouts. The best approach to such markets would be first to strictly avoid shorts and second; cautiously picking good quality stocks who has relatively under-performed and effectively rotating sectors.

Milan Vaishnav, CMT 
Technical Analyst 
(Research Analyst, SEBI Reg. No. INH000003341)

Member
Market Technicians Association, (MTA), USA
Canadian Society of Technical Analysts, (CSTA), CANADA



+91-98250-16331