MARKET TREND FOR TODAY
June 28, 2012
A day of range bound
activity and positive consolidation. This is what can explain the yesterday’s
session in the Markets as the Markets opened positive, spent the day in the
positive territory and ended the day with modest gains after moving in a
relatively narrow range. The Markets opened on a positive note and while
remaining in upward rising trajectory, gave its day’s high of 5160.10 in the afternoon
trade. It came off a bit in the late afternoon trade, but recovered a bit again
and finally ended the day at 5141.90, posting a modestly decent gain of 21.10
or 0.41%. It formed a higher top and higher bottom on the Daily High Low
charts.
Today, we enter into the expiry day of the current June
Derivative Series and thus the session is likely to remain heavily dominated
with rollover centric activities. Further to this, the Markets continue to
heavily consolidate and thus expect the Markets to open on a moderately
positive note and continue with consolidation with upward bias.
The levels of 5195 and 5220 shall act as immediate
resistance on the Charts and the levels of 5105 and 5075 shall act as immediate
supports.
The lead indicators continue to remain in place. The RSI—Relative
Strength Index on the Daily Chart is 57.6205 and is neutral as it shows no
negative divergence or failure swing. The Daily MACD continues to remain
bullish as it trades above its signal line.
The NIFTY and Stock Futures have continued to add Open
Interest and this shows net longs in the key stocks as well as NIFTY and
clearly points towards the clear possibilities of the Markets touching the
upper levels of the broad trading range, i.e. 5200. The NIFTY PCR stands at
1.54, leaving a gap for the upside.
Having said this, today we enter into expiry day of the
current series. The session will see the rollover activities dominating the
trend. The intraday trajectory that the Markets form would be important.
All and all, the Markets shall continue to consolidate,
but with upward bias as the under
current remains bullish. In the phase of consolidation, there might be range
bound movements with tinge of volatility ingrained in it. Occasional bouts of
profit taking cannot be ruled out either. Any weakness should be used to make
selective purchases. Shorts should be avoided as there are no negative breaches
anywhere on the Charts. Overall, positive optimism is advised for today.
Milan
Vaishnav,
Consulting
Technical Analyst,
+91-98250-16331
