Friday, April 8, 2011

Daily Market Trend Guide -- Friday, April, 08, 2011

MARKET TREND FOR TODAY

The Markets continued to consolidate yesterday also though it showed some intraday resilience but ended with and in the process have formed a sharply lower top and lower bottom on the Daily High Low Charts.
Today, expect the Markets to open on a mildly negative note and look for directions.

With the Markets expected to open on a mildly negative note, the levels of 5925-5935 have now become temporary top an they will continue to act as immediate resistances.

For today, the levels of 5925-5940 shall act as resistance and the levels of 5830 and 5790 shall act as supports. Yesterday, the Markets have shown some definite signs of impending weakness though it
has been best trying to avoid it.

The RSI—Relative Strength Index on the Daily Chart is 68.5841 and it has given a sell signal a day ago. It continues to remain neutral as no negative divergences or failure swings are seen. The Daily MACD continues to trade above its signal line.

As mentioned, the Markets now shows some definite signs of weariness and impending correction. On the Candles, A Spinning Top has occurred. During a rally, as in present case, it signifies the loss of price momentum. Further three black candles were formed in last three days. Though they were not big enough to create three black crows the steady downward pattern is bearish. Also, the Close of the NIFTY is below the Chart pattern resistance of falling trend line.

Given all this, the reading goes that even though the Markets show some intraday resilience, the steady pattern remains bearish. Fresh longs should be either very stock specific with strict protection of profits at higher levels or only when the Markets moves past the 5940 levels. Until then, stock specific approach with high degree of caution is advised for today.

Milan Vaishnav,
Consulting Technical Analyst,
www.MyMoneyPlant.co.in

+91-9825016331

milanvaishnav@mymoneyplant.co.in 
milanvaishnav@yahoo.com

Thursday, April 7, 2011

Daily Market Trend Guide -- Thursday, April 07, 2011

MARKET TREND FOR TODAY


The Markets yesterday showed some first signs of correction slightly creeping in as it closed with minor losses but still managed to form a slightly higher top and higher bottom on the Daily High Low Charts.
The Markets have closed near the low point of the day and thus, it is likely that the weakness shall persist in the Markets, at least in the initial session.

The Markets are likely to give a flat to mildly negative opening today and look for directions. Today’s behavior of the Markets would be critical to confirm the Markets entering into consolidation / correction stage as today’s session may see negative crossover of 100 and 200 DMAs which are now equal.

With the markets expected to open on a flat to mildly negative note, the levels of 5925, 5940 shall act as resistance and the levels of 5845 and 5805 shall act as supports.

The RSI—Relative Strength Index on the Daily Charts is 69.2237. This lead indicators has moved out /down from its OVERBOUGHT area and has given a SELL signal. The Daily MACD continues to trade above its signal line.

Though the Markets have added in net Open Interest, the Open Interest has come down from its intraday highs and the premiums too shrunk intraday day. This translates into offloading of longs and also some creation of fresh shorts in the system. Today’s trend would largely dependupon the intraday trajectory that the Markets form. Even if initial positivity is seen in the Markets, the chart pattern as well as the other technicals suggest that the correction may continue in the Markets.

All and all, with the Markets likely to continue to remain in corrective phase, extreme caution is advised while taking fresh longs with highly stock specific approach. Overall, continuation of cautious outlook is advised for today.

Milan Vaishnav,
Consulting Technical Analyst,
www.MyMoneyPlant.co.in 
+91-9825016331

milanvaishnav@mymoneyplant.co.in 
milanvaishnav@yahoo.com